No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $147
- Potential payout
- $162.43
- Potential profit
- $15.43
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $12.2
Polymarket Trader
0x3786E97A2e912073860EeecD564431c96d1521ae-1772682371961
0x3786e97a2e912073860eeecd564431c96d1521ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $154.81
- Realized PnL
- $7.75
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $67.93
- Potential profit
- $60.12
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.29
- Potential profit
- $47.29
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.29
- Potential profit
- $39.29
- User PnL
- -$9.13
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.53
- Potential profit
- $18.53
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.14
- Potential profit
- $18.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.21
- Potential profit
- $17.21
- User PnL
- -$11.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $16.66
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.41
- Potential profit
- $13.41
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.48
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 162.43 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 54% 18.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown 36% 4.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 74% 8.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 60% 8.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown 16% 22.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown 42% 14.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown 33.9% 14.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETDown 34% 2.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETDown 55.9% 8.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETDown 57.9% 1.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp 42% 11.17 shares