Polymarket Trader

Trespassa

0x3790601bcfb48f5f0f8fd432f683e987b5fdbb81

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.7
Realized PnL: $39.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $5.32
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.06

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $6.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $3.06
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Stormers win?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $6.01
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Oil" 2+ times during meetings with Orbán?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Radical Left" this week? (April 27 - May 3)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

Yes 82% 6.1 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 9.26 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Yes 77.9% 6.42 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?

Yes 88% 5.68 shares
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

No 84% 4.63 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?

Yes 84% 5.95 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Yes 67% 7.46 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?

Yes 93% 5.38 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 96.5% 5.18 shares
Will Stormers win?

Yes 83.2% 6.01 shares
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 68.7% 5.74 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Yes 53% 9.43 shares