No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.9
Polymarket Trader
LaborCreatesValue
0x37d2d2e56350cf41fa1f489fd1d999c95ec87847
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $80.12
- Realized PnL
- $545.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $15.59
- Potential payout
- $15.64
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $13.82
- Potential profit
- $12.09
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
No position
Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.43
- Potential payout
- $11.47
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $10.83
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.59
No position
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.3%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $4.51
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.38
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 4?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.28
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.84
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.07
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.76
No position
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.99
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.94
No position
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.73
No position
Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
No position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02
No position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.75
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 65 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No 53% 3.64 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No 54% 1.16 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No 56% 5.79 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No 56% 1.81 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.8% 5.79 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.8% 2.94 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.5% 6.54 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 15% 1.09 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 16% 1.07 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 18% 0.01 shares
- Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes 44% 0.1 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No 38% 0.68 shares