No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Polymarket Trader
concodefi
0x37d634e44d18a40b3c30b0643a8714139933fd31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.85
- Realized PnL
- $118.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.2%
- Current value
- $18.17
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $13.08
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $13.17
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.16
- Potential profit
- $22.16
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $20.2
- User PnL
- -$2
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $9.69
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.31
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $14.69
- Potential profit
- $12.12
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.83
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- User PnL
- -$3
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.36
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $4.97
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $4.68
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
N
No position
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $4.67
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?
Ends Jul 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $4.05
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $3.96
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Frances Tiafoe position
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.92
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?No 88% 4.05 shares
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No 89.4% 3.66 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo 89% 4.54 shares
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?No 90% 3.43 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 86% 4.35 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No 85.2% 5.04 shares
- Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 87% 4.67 shares
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?No 90% 4.91 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32% 61.72 shares
- Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?No 90% 3.96 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No 87% 4.74 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 88% 4.68 shares