Polymarket Trader

SemyonMarmeladov

0x37e4728b3c4607fb2b3b205386bb1d1fb1a8c991

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $3.95M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $845.58K
Potential profit: $845.58K
User PnL: -$92.24K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550K
Potential profit: $550K
User PnL: -$152.5K

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $400K
User PnL: -$74K

No position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.55K
Potential profit: $396.55K
User PnL: -$210.94K

Andrey Rublev position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350K
Potential profit: $350K
User PnL: -$157K

Vermont Catamounts position

Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-3.5)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.81K
Potential profit: $324.81K
User PnL: -$152.66K

No position

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305K
Potential profit: $305K
User PnL: -$172.1K

Under position

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304K
Potential profit: $304K
User PnL: -$148.46K

No position

Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-02?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.39K
Potential profit: $303.39K
User PnL: -$112.25K

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.8K
Potential profit: $302.8K
User PnL: -$14.64K

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $300K
User PnL: -$115.5K

Al Okhdood SC position

Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $300K
User PnL: -$126K

Botic van de Zandschulp position

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $300K
User PnL: -$36K

Under position

Houston Christian Huskies vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 137.5

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.91K
Potential profit: $299.91K
User PnL: -$147.45K

No position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.2K
Potential profit: $280.2K
User PnL: -$109.28K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.92K
Potential profit: $276.92K
User PnL: -$85.05K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.1K
Potential profit: $276.1K
User PnL: -$23.19K

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275K
Potential profit: $275K
User PnL: -$86K

Maja Chwalinska position

Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275K
Potential profit: $275K
User PnL: -$54.72K

Yes position

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.37K
Potential profit: $268.37K
User PnL: -$103.82K

Yes position

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.92K
Potential profit: $266.92K
User PnL: -$109.1K

Under position

Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 145.5

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250K
Potential profit: $250K
User PnL: -$122.5K

Over position

Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250K
Potential profit: $250K
User PnL: -$102.5K

No position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250K
Potential profit: $250K
User PnL: -$125.5K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.52K

Oregon position

Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.24K

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.78K

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.4K

Under position

Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.75K

Pablo Carreno Busta position

Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.25K

No position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.87K

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.8K

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.5K

Yes position

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156K

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.27K

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.5K

Zachary Svajda position

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.65K

No position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.6K

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.97K

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.75K

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132K

Marta Kostyuk position

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.5K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.89K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123K

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Giants

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.74K

Bills position

Bills vs. Jaguars

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.25K

No position

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.5K

Vikings position

Lions vs. Vikings

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.68K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery

Flavio Cobolli 69% 50,000 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Felix Auger-Aliassime 40% 5,246.81 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Felix Auger-Aliassime 40% 79,752.79 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.2% 53,669.6 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94% 18,274.04 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 38% 30,000 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

No 54.9% 31,753.58 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

No 11% 160,035.17 shares
Nottingham Open: Emma Navarro vs Viktorija Golubic

Viktorija Golubic 29% 97,384.24 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 80% 13,593.29 shares
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics

Marton Fucsovics 34% 139,980.21 shares
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics

Brandon Nakashima 65% 8 shares