Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$29.51
Polymarket Trader
espgianca2
0x37e686a200d2ccdb17ebf0e6bb4c6174d5b7f35c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.17K
- Realized PnL
- $4.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $27.12
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$4.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $286.07
- Potential payout
- $497.51
- Potential profit
- $211.44
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $22.39
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $89.55
- Potential payout
- $398
- Potential profit
- $308.45
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$21.89
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $212.16
- Potential payout
- $368.98
- Potential profit
- $156.82
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $26.27
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $96.29
- Potential payout
- $305.7
- Potential profit
- $209.4
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $13.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $223.44
- Potential payout
- $292.07
- Potential profit
- $68.64
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $71.73
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $14.71
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $260.29
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $13.32
- Potential payout
- $258.61
- Potential profit
- $245.29
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
No position
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $191.75
- Potential profit
- $188.2
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$20.85
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $32.6
- Potential payout
- $148.18
- Potential profit
- $115.58
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$4.53
No position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $120.62
- Potential payout
- $147.09
- Potential profit
- $26.48
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $8.83
Yes position
Will Xavi Hernandez be the next manager of SSC Napoli?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.7
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.7
No position
World Cup: Scoreless Team?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $99.05
- Potential profit
- $91.62
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.27
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $36.34
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
No position
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $27.08
- Potential payout
- $34.28
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.39
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
N
No position
Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $9.37
- Potential payout
- $12.49
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.55
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.63
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.1
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $178.35
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.44
Alex Molcan position
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.04
Darja Semenistaja position
Oeiras 3: Darja Semenistaja vs Leolia Jeanjean
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.77
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144.5
Jaqueline Cristian position
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jaqueline Cristian
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.79
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.08
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.54
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.91
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.91
Eva Lys position
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.45
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.2
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.69
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.86
Yes position
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.27
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.13
Solary position
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.42
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes 22% 99.5 shares
- Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?No 76% 7.12 shares
- Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?No 78% 5.37 shares
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?No 76% 49.75 shares
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?No 76% 39.79 shares
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?No 76% 57.55 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 4.6% 74.84 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 3.5% 315.5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.6% 482.1 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.4% 195.42 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.4% 589.58 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6% 390.35 shares