No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$24.84
Polymarket Trader
0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718
0x37ea8cd1e66025e4f78301124f995e793d1df395
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $307.13
- Realized PnL
- $2.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $52.49
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $22.02
Yes position
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $49
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $13.15
Yes position
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.48K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.26
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$102.12
Yes position
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $78.75
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $13.99
Yes position
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $55.57
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $24.66
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$84.27
Yes position
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$20.45
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
No token launch by April 30
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$21.92
Yes position
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.31
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.93
Yes position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $25.1
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 6 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Yes position
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 30?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Yes position
US bank failure by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$44.84
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$22.4
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$14.7
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$11.32
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $948.95
- Potential profit
- $948.95
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $924.98
- Potential profit
- $922.21
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.63
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.28
Yes position
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.76
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.5
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.51
No position
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.02
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.59
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.5
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.13
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.57
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.42
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.12
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.27
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.51
Yes position
Will Trump say "House" or "Housing" during CNBC interview?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.66
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
Yes position
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.7
Yes position
Will there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.36
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.75
Yes position
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.18
No position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 3.9% 37.5 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 4% 37 shares
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 12% 33 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 4% 25.51 shares
- Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Yes 2.2% 116.84 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 3.3% 300 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 3.5% 100 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 10% 65 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.9% 25 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 83.4% 180 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 15.2% 20 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.5% 80 shares