Polymarket Trader

0x190416114F879Bf360817B0CBbCea1aD03135cdA-1770771070290

0x37eccb4c50fd1f54da3c0c58741a5861d3de8032

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.25
Realized PnL: $15.66
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.56
Potential profit: $155.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.76
Potential profit: $24.76
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.34
Potential profit: $8.34
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Down 2% 11.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Down 42% 11.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Down 40% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Down 99% 6.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Down 76% 6.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Up 37% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Up 85% 5.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Down 99.9% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Up 32% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Up 55% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Down 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Up 78% 11.36 shares