Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Polymarket Trader
stormcandy6034
0x37f9c8a4ede96df65a2b26a2d164e6e5f4d15745
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.77
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 76% 42 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 5.5% 78 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 36% 17 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 73% 40 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 14% 32 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.7% 33 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 83% 39 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 83% 39 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.6% 34 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.4% 25 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.8% 34 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 28% 89 shares