Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $249.08
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$267.78
Polymarket Trader
Ccc
0x381f4b69dbf6d97cecc7fd688ba9c9d7a540bc99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $650.81
- Realized PnL
- $8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$900.49
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $456
- Potential profit
- $456
- User PnL
- -$21.01
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $37.91
- Potential payout
- $399.07
- Potential profit
- $361.16
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$47.51
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $58.12
- Potential payout
- $374.95
- Potential profit
- $316.83
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$107.88
Yes position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $171.55
- Potential payout
- $236.63
- Potential profit
- $65.07
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $74.98
- Potential payout
- $92.01
- Potential profit
- $17.03
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $41.87
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.87
No position
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $40.37
- Potential profit
- $38.31
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $6.37
- Potential payout
- $32.43
- Potential profit
- $26.06
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $716.11
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.45
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.3
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.85
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.26
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.29
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.75
Yes position
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.22
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.72
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.43
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.84
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.37
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.56
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Putin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.43
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.88
Yes position
Will the Bloc Québécois win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.39
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 147.54 shares
- Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 5% 40.37 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 32.43 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 90.3% 115 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 95.1% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes 48% 20 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Yes 20.3% 75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes 6% 286.1 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 80% 118.96 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 6% 9.61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?No 11% 9.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 29.41 shares