Polymarket Trader

Fl924hhu

0x381f6b7adc1fb95e7e81445f1c3156f9ead04bca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.53
Realized PnL: $5.72
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $27.9
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $16.56
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $19.52
Potential profit: $19.31
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $12.83
Multiplier: 13.16x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.67
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.62
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $7.19
Potential profit: $6.4
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $6.8
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?

Yes 58% 2.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Yes 56% 1.79 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 29?

Yes 49% 2.04 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 42% 2.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 29?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 99.1% 3.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 49% 3.18 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Over 42% 2.38 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5

Under 46% 2.17 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 88.1% 1.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?

No 67% 1.49 shares