Polymarket Trader

Parasite

0x3826090d3bec290b0952425492a79d6fa17484ef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.4
Realized PnL: $11.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $13K
User PnL: -$95.97

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.5K
User PnL: -$35.65

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$54.98

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$35.97

Yes position

Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $999.96
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $700
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.89
Potential profit: $259.89
User PnL: -$39.97

No position

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $89.99
User PnL: -$49.5

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $71.6
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$20.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.09
Potential profit: $48.09
User PnL: -$5.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.06
Potential profit: $34.06
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $72m and 77m on opening weekend?

Ends May 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Yes position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?

Ends Nov 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will NFP win the most seats in the French election?

Ends Jul 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813

Yes position

Did MrBeast's Twitter post with over 124m views make over $15k?

Ends Jan 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $687.04

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.16

Yes position

Taylor Swift #1 album for 10 or more weeks?

Ends Jun 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.64

No position

Will RN/UXD win the most seats in the French election?

Ends Jul 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561.57

Yes position

Will Ensemble win 130 or more seats in the French election?

Ends Jul 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.66

Yes position

Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.49

Yes position

Will MrBeast's giveaway tweet be the most reposted of all time?

Ends Jan 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.75

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.33

Yes position

MrBeast biggest YouTube channel by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2024?

Ends May 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.1

Yes position

Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.31

Yes position

Will Jonathan Tamayo win the WSOP main event?

Ends Jul 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.91

Yes position

Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.4

Yes position

Will National Rally win less than 175 seats?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.32

Yes position

Will National Rally win 175-199 seats?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $165.01

Yes position

Will 'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' gross over $56m on its opening weekend?

Ends May 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy attend Pope Francis' funeral?

Ends Apr 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.11

No position

Will MrBeast's giveaway tweet be reposted between 3.5-3.8m times?

Ends Jan 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.24

Yes position

Will 'Star Wars III' gross more than $25m on opening weekend?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149

Yes position

Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Down 5% 59.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Down 12% 41.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Down 12.5% 31.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Down 12% 33.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Down 21% 23.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Down 29% 29.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Up 2% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Down 4% 24.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Down 15% 6.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Down 16% 6.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Down 29% 10.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Down 30% 16.48 shares