Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $282.4
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$261.88
Polymarket Trader
KrootKhan
0x3828f6134aabfa08f9ce6ab6bf1d48c33e718f92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $518.04
- Realized PnL
- $715.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.64
- Potential profit
- $387.64
- User PnL
- -$65.2
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.28
- Potential profit
- $382.28
- User PnL
- -$107.35
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.29
- Potential profit
- $381.29
- User PnL
- -$275.83
Yes position
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $222.37
- Potential profit
- $220.26
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $176.47
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $104.71
- Potential payout
- $166.2
- Potential profit
- $61.49
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.54
- Potential profit
- $152.54
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.46
- Potential profit
- $98.46
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $81.75
- Potential payout
- $81.96
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $9.55
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.44
- Potential profit
- $74.44
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $32.99
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.08
- Potential profit
- $25.08
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $24.69
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.59
- Potential profit
- $20.59
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $12.62
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.39
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $146.77
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.4
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.74
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $43.34
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.87
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.01
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.13
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $27.12
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
Yes position
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.68
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes 83% 16.15 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes 82% 113.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94.9% 12.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 77% 12.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 54.35 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 50% 130.98 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 75% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 5.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.9% 27.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 26.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 4.9% 44.66 shares