Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $11.56K
- Potential profit
- $10.45K
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $105.91
Polymarket Trader
Danstradamus
0x38293dc819bc75f1081b1694bfcd8170c1dc3633
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $4.35K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.75K
- Potential profit
- $9.75K
- User PnL
- -$369.98
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.34K
- Potential profit
- $8.34K
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- User PnL
- -$111
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $15.88
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.12
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$221
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $98.77
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $940.88
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$147.23
Yes position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $955.47
- Potential profit
- $955.47
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $841.73
- Potential profit
- $841.73
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $829.95
- Potential profit
- $829.95
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $140.8
- Potential payout
- $761.08
- Potential profit
- $620.28
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$84.2
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $701.23
- Potential profit
- $701.23
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $638.29
- Potential profit
- $638.29
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625.51
- Potential profit
- $625.51
- User PnL
- -$92.54
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.23
- Potential profit
- $590.23
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $541.67
- Potential profit
- $541.67
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 9?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $476.19
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.67
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.34
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.19
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.94
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.51
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.07
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.82
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.31
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.92
Yes position
Will Trump comment on New Jersey drones by Sunday?
Ends Dec 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.22
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Mystery drones shot down by Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 35% 71.43 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 15% 440 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 14.3% 185.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 4.3% 2,326.81 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.7% 8,812.68 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.3% 730.08 shares
- US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes 2.8% 357.14 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 3.6% 555.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 3.6% 2,777.78 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 3.6% 1,388.89 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 3.7% 2,702.7 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 3.5% 9,944.36 shares