Polymarket Trader

bnot

0x382baeb7d7d8d12b9c4b5fedd17474f11a37e3f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $463.75
Win rate: 77.3%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91K
Potential profit: $91K
User PnL: -$91

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$10

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.05
Potential profit: $248.05
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.47
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.15
Potential profit: $148.15
User PnL: -$20

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.32
Potential profit: $125.32
User PnL: -$50

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.62
Potential profit: $107.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.56
Potential profit: $97.56
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $56.6
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $40.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.69

No position

Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.71

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.06

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.72

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.79

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.39

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.78

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.12

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.23

No position

Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 30,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 94% 34.88 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 27.78 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 38.96 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 66% 15.15 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 34.88 shares