No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.16K
- Potential profit
- $7.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Polymarket Trader
Aurelius7
0x3832289e6aca6b9444f6d9a4a2a8392f434535e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.64K
- Realized PnL
- $22.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $191.3
- Potential payout
- $6.96K
- Potential profit
- $6.77K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $31.31
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $30.56
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$19.44
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.38K
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $510.67
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $99.6
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$30.4
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $128.33
- Potential payout
- $4.67K
- Potential profit
- $4.54K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $58.34
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $4.49K
- User PnL
- -$2.7K
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$195
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $103.92
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $15.18
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Patriots position
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$950
Yes position
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$792.86
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $21.48
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$18.52
No position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$230
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$664.28
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.91
Du Plessis position
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995.59
- Potential profit
- $995.59
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87K
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Lions position
Lions vs. 49ers
Ends Jan 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Vikings position
Vikings vs. Bears
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.23
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.24
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.15
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Ends Dec 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.45
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.15
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.2
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $538.92
Rams position
Bills vs. Rams
Ends Dec 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.94
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Rams
Ends Dec 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.63
Yes position
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.69
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.39
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.8
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.13
Vikings position
Packers vs. Vikings
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.72
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.34
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.73
No position
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.43
Packers position
Packers vs. Steelers
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 37% 40.54 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 37% 94.59 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 37% 195.12 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 41% 390.24 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.1% 4,128.78 shares
- Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes 22% 500 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.2% 773.19 shares
- Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 63% 317.46 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 58% 86.21 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 58% 344.83 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 5.8% 1,466.66 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 53% 283.02 shares