Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.89K
- Potential profit
- $31.89K
- User PnL
- -$235.87
Polymarket Trader
Frankinjo
0x3847344ec6219ef5f271c8e52397506171cc5c87
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $787.51
- Realized PnL
- $5.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$104.56
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$144.55
Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $204.3
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- -$232.69
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$333.73
No position
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $950
- User PnL
- -$109.83
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $942.65
- Potential profit
- $942.65
- User PnL
- -$370.84
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $850
- User PnL
- -$376.5
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.3%
- Current value
- $495.71
- Potential payout
- $686.11
- Potential profit
- $190.39
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $319.04
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $645.04
- Potential profit
- $645.04
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $532.05
- Potential profit
- $532.05
- User PnL
- -$278.4
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $520
- User PnL
- -$50.96
No position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $412.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$202.5
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$215
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $259.3
- Potential profit
- $259.3
- User PnL
- -$83.29
Yes position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$62.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$68
Yes position
Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $111
- User PnL
- -$22.2
Yes position
Will Powell say "Not our job" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.99
- Potential profit
- $34.99
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.42x
- User PnL
- $320.86
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.38
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.63
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.79
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.79
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.4
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.89
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.79
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.8
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.60x
- User PnL
- $122.59
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.05
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.79
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.07
Yes position
Will Trump say "Egg" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.29
Yes position
Will Trump say "Genius" during his AI speech on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.88
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.13
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.44
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 30.7% 1,399.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 29.1% 67.05 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 27.8% 190.06 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 14.7% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 20.6% 1,810 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 20% 1,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 19.9% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 18.8% 300 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 18.7% 150.69 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 81.6% 692.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.7% 266.98 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 64% 95 shares