No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $40.01
- Potential payout
- $40.11
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.01
Polymarket Trader
duckp
0x384b6657da7b9926d9fba1e42f9766db2dbbc2d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.76
- Realized PnL
- $91.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.41
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $5.46
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Hofstra Pride position
Towson Tigers vs. Hofstra Pride
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers position
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Jazz
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Mark Byington win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 96.1% 10.41 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 10.03 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 10.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?Yes 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 21?No 99.7% 5.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?No 99.9% 11.01 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17?Yes 99.2% 50.4 shares