Polymarket Trader

gcgHKn

0x38684d4e109fbf958aefb5eac8b32b95ca671c1a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.1
Realized PnL: $33.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $21.1
Potential payout: $21.65
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.15
Potential profit: $8.15
User PnL: -$6.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71
Potential profit: $2.71
User PnL: -$2.35

No position

Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21
Potential profit: $2.21
User PnL: -$1.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

No position

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will Elon tweet 250 or more times April 4 - 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

No position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will Elon tweet between 390 and 419 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Elon tweet 110–124 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will Elon tweet 155–169 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97% 21.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

No 86.6% 2.71 shares
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 64.4% 2.21 shares
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 85% 8.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

No 99.9% 53.02 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Gen.G 93% 6 shares
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Yes 34% 6 shares
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Yes 17% 6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

No 98.4% 6.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

No 77.5% 3.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

No 96.1% 5.41 shares