N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $466.22
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$26.15
Polymarket Trader
SPY-KT
0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.78K
- Realized PnL
- $18.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$50
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $366.18
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $875.1
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$527.14
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $267.8
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $949.46
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$549.63
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$292.5
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $29.87
- Potential payout
- $905.28
- Potential profit
- $875.41
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$620.12
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $213.99
- Potential payout
- $658.42
- Potential profit
- $444.43
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$266.02
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $360.13
- Potential payout
- $648.89
- Potential profit
- $288.75
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$119.87
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $181.81
- Potential payout
- $559.42
- Potential profit
- $377.61
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$18.19
No position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $473.18
- Potential profit
- $472
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$208.82
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $470.25
- Potential profit
- $467.9
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$271.96
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $20.47
- Potential payout
- $454.97
- Potential profit
- $434.49
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$129.53
Yes position
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $22.82
- Potential payout
- $345.74
- Potential profit
- $322.92
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$57.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 15 above $210?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $36.6
- Potential payout
- $271.12
- Potential profit
- $234.52
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$88.4
Yes position
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $16.09
- Potential payout
- $218.92
- Potential profit
- $202.83
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$63.91
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.13
- Potential profit
- $189.13
- User PnL
- -$127.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $29.72
- Potential payout
- $185.77
- Potential profit
- $156.05
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$90.28
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $121.71
- Potential payout
- $170.22
- Potential profit
- $48.51
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $29.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $22.45
- Potential payout
- $124.73
- Potential profit
- $102.28
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 15 above $205?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $44.28
- Potential payout
- $102.98
- Potential profit
- $58.7
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$35.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $26.98
- Potential payout
- $30.83
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $931.55
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.68
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.51
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.96
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.86
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.53
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.97
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.49
No position
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.84
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.78
No position
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.19
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.89
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.01
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $366.67
No position
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.87
No position
Will Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.68
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $317.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 58% 51.72 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 69.9% 286.07 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 80.9% 257.4 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of June 15 2026?No 48% 208.33 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of June 15 2026?No 48% 50.65 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?No 95% 284.81 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?No 89% 94.93 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 67% 74.63 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 95.3% 53.76 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 67% 149.25 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?No 88.2% 128.52 shares