Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.29K
- Potential profit
- $8.29K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Polymarket Trader
0x389D2790cD8eaD87028F68eAa7CFadB6c53f5866-1767895502715
0x389d2790cd8ead87028f68eaa7cfadb6c53f5866
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $447.17
- Realized PnL
- $2.93K
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $443.48
- Potential payout
- $6.82K
- Potential profit
- $6.38K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.56K
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.71K
- Potential profit
- $4.71K
- User PnL
- -$422.99
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $4.55K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.89
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $6.07
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.48
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.52
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Up position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$484.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$715.47
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$881.51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 0.4% 4,743.94 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 6,818.41 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 34% 4,412.65 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 22% 4,546.59 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 10.6% 4,724.86 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 43.9% 2.28 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 21.9% 4.57 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 10.5% 9.52 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 33.9% 2.95 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 66.2% 1.51 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 23.9% 4.18 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes 63% 1.59 shares