wtrader2580

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $10.93
Potential payout: $180.64
Potential profit: $169.71
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $146.22
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $114.56
Potential payout: $114.62
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $112.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $7.83
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $95.17
Multiplier: 13.16x
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $94.99
Potential profit: $94.56
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $89.5
Potential profit: $83.37
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $87.68
Potential profit: $86.76
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60.96
Potential profit: $60.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.9
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $58.68
Potential profit: $57.42
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $54.65
Potential profit: $53.17
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $51.28
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $3.37
Potential payout: $45.5
Potential profit: $42.13
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $43.67
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $42.26
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $29.7
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $42.87
Potential profit: $42.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $42.5
Potential profit: $40.82
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $42.5
Potential profit: $41
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.39
Potential profit: $38.37
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $37.86
Potential profit: $37.77
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $37.7
Potential profit: $37.57
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $34.07
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?