No position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $4.31
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
Laurentdepau
0x38ab8ff9075817800f5545b05156e63c146aab66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.7
- Realized PnL
- -$0.07
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $3.74
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $3.72
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $3.17
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $2.25
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.05
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $1.88
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.38
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.26
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.3% 2.18 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.2% 1.71 shares
- Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 99.7% 147.15 shares
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.4% 1.89 shares
- Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 99.8% 147.15 shares
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1.18 shares
- Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.6% 1.32 shares
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.7% 0.51 shares
- Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.3% 1.38 shares
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99% 4.52 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1.07 shares
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 1.82 shares