Polymarket Trader

Calvin3328

0x38b09c9d19c75018afc3ff63b60a33f7d2d7dd47

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.9K
Realized PnL: $22.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $792
Potential payout: $144K
Potential profit: $143.21K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$216

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $15.68K
Potential payout: $85K
Potential profit: $69.32K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $11.69K
Potential payout: $85K
Potential profit: $73.31K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$1.99K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.39K
Potential payout: $51K
Potential profit: $47.61K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$943.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $6.55K
Potential payout: $51K
Potential profit: $44.45K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $943.5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $535.71
Potential payout: $23.81K
Potential profit: $23.27K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $35.74

Yes position

Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $7.47K
Potential profit: $6.2K
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $127.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $6.79K
User PnL: -$458.35

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $146.25
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.35K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $55.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$1.49K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $662.27
Potential payout: $6.37K
Potential profit: $5.71K
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: $312.08

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$476

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.87K
Potential profit: $3.87K
User PnL: -$811.88

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$4.43

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $58.85
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$21.1

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $57
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$17.56

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$188.56

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $29.9
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$84.1

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $35.2
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: $9.9

Under position

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $985.3
Potential profit: $985.3
User PnL: -$502.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $877.02
Potential profit: $877.02
User PnL: -$196.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.42K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $776.37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $660

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $644.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $541.33

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.78

No position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $356.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $300.31

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.43

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $248.93

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $235.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $222.81

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $140

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.59

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.72

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 82% 500 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 51.5% 1,500 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 37% 2,000 shares
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 5% 3,686.97 shares
Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Norway 42% 1,000 shares
Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Norway 18.1% 1,000 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?

Yes 5.5% 6,368 shares
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 6.5% 4,060 shares
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 7.5% 19.99 shares
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 7.6% 25 shares
Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Norway 36% 1,000 shares
Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Norway 60% 1,000 shares