Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x38c7F4169d20d3aaec213AA8718eD2e10A8ae4aF-1762869990084
0x38c7f4169d20d3aaec213aa8718ed2e10a8ae4af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16
- Realized PnL
- $32.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.6
- Potential profit
- $251.6
- User PnL
- -$95.09
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.39
- Potential profit
- $102.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2PM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 34% 27.91 shares
- Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 36% 27.78 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 63% 1.9 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 37% 42.16 shares
- Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?No 98.4% 1.07 shares
- Will France join the Board of Peace?No 98.6% 1.12 shares
- Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?No 98.8% 1.13 shares
- Will Belgium join the Board of Peace?No 98.2% 1.12 shares
- Will Norway join the Board of Peace?No 99% 1.12 shares
- Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No 98.3% 1.14 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 64% 1.91 shares