No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $153.45
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $191.38
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $53.45
Polymarket Trader
daniljacent1
0x38cf404b7707c6123b2c5b6ddc8ba90cd51ac713
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $814.16
- Realized PnL
- $651.79
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $240.39
- Potential payout
- $274.73
- Potential profit
- $34.34
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $20.39
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.6
- Potential profit
- $169.6
- User PnL
- -$138.43
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $88
- Potential payout
- $145.45
- Potential profit
- $57.45
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $105.83
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $70.83
- Potential payout
- $70.94
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $10.83
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $59.67
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $9.67
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.1
- Potential profit
- $63.1
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $56.33
- Potential payout
- $60.24
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $39.66
- Potential payout
- $44.32
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.98
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.87
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.69
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.93
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.61
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.38
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No 88% 44.32 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 55% 145.45 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 75.3% 13.28 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 79% 12.66 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 80.7% 12.39 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 81.5% 12.27 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 18.3% 63.93 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 80% 12.5 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No 75% 66.67 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 79% 126.58 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 81% 148.15 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 62.6% 63.93 shares