Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $220.08
- Potential payout
- $251.52
- Potential profit
- $31.44
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $47.08
Polymarket Trader
millionfyte
0x38d3d6ef449ed5c8873d8af2b3825e5b40e95bdf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $508.07
- Realized PnL
- $2.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $135.55
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $35.55
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $114.59
- Potential payout
- $131.71
- Potential profit
- $17.12
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $14.59
Yes position
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $107.97
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $24.29
- Potential profit
- $16.15
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $10.76
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $6.19
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.14
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.8%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.23
- Multiplier
- 3.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 14?Up 73% 136.99 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 14?Up 75.9% 131.71 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 28% 10 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.6% 10 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 12.98 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 14?Up 66% 151.52 shares
- Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes 1.9% 110 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 98.6% 10.14 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes 41.2% 24.29 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 59% 16.95 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 12.99 shares