Yes position
Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.13
Polymarket Trader
basbelasi
0x38da8ce5f5e05c535464d3c39c243ad09a8468d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $699.62
- Realized PnL
- $74.66
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $237.97
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $77.98
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $56.59
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $510.2
- Potential profit
- $506.38
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$21.17
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $33.06
- Potential payout
- $388.89
- Potential profit
- $355.83
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $385.12
- Potential profit
- $385.12
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $111.82
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $70
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$8.18
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $85.5
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $94.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $72.61
- Potential payout
- $159.57
- Potential profit
- $86.97
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.2%
- Current value
- $77.11
- Potential payout
- $134.92
- Potential profit
- $57.81
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $19.27
- Potential payout
- $72.73
- Potential profit
- $53.45
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$20.73
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.32
- Potential profit
- $38.32
- User PnL
- -$16.86
Yes position
Florian Wirtz: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $74.66
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 41.3% 134.92 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31.8% 30 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 54% 100 shares
- Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 47% 159.57 shares
- Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 55% 72.73 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.3% 1,057.69 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ goalsYes 52% 19.23 shares
- Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 87% 177.77 shares
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 3,750 shares
- Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.9% 510.2 shares