0x38E2f5d6d1693a365E22b7ca0c715f8d92Da2909-1774307530180

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.5
Potential profit: $395.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.11
Potential profit: $298.11
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $290.5
Potential profit: $290.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.04
Potential profit: $285.04
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.38
Potential profit: $272.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $255
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.27
Potential profit: $233.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226
Potential profit: $226
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.82
Potential profit: $214.82
User PnL: -$23.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.01
Potential profit: $214.01
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.58
Potential profit: $191.58
User PnL: -$10.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.47
Potential profit: $187.47
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.1
Potential profit: $182.1
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.51
Potential profit: $172.51
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.45
Potential profit: $172.45
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.52
Potential profit: $168.52
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.54
Potential profit: $166.54
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.43
Potential profit: $164.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.21
Potential profit: $160.21
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.06
Potential profit: $155.06
User PnL: -$2.38

Down position

XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.51
Potential profit: $151.51
User PnL: -$1.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.36
Potential profit: $151.36
User PnL: -$81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.22
Potential profit: $150.22
User PnL: -$38

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.89
Potential profit: $143.89
User PnL: -$87.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.06
Potential profit: $139.06
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.75
Potential profit: $138.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $138.45
Potential profit: $138.39
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$41.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.73
Potential profit: $136.73
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.98
Potential profit: $134.98
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.56
Potential profit: $132.56
User PnL: -$4.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.3
Potential profit: $132.3
User PnL: -$94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on May 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.27
Potential profit: $132.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.35
Potential profit: $129.35
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.05
Potential profit: $129.05
User PnL: -$27.95

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.1
Potential profit: $128.1
User PnL: -$12.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.3
Potential profit: $127.3
User PnL: -$13.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.9
Potential profit: $126.9
User PnL: -$33.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $72.44
Potential payout: $125.98
Potential profit: $53.54
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $6.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.54
Potential profit: $125.54
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.26
Potential profit: $123.26
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $95.89
Potential payout: $122.93
Potential profit: $27.05
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $12.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.49
Potential profit: $122.49
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.16
Potential profit: $121.16
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.93
Potential profit: $120.93
User PnL: -$84.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.03
Potential profit: $120.03
User PnL: -$73.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.82
Potential profit: $119.82
User PnL: -$42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.46

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.29

Down position

BNB Up or Down - April 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.84

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83

Down position

BNB Up or Down - April 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.3

Up position

BNB Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.69

Down position

BNB Up or Down - April 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.01

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.42

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.29

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.12

Down position

BNB Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.51

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.32

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.52

Down position

BNB Up or Down - April 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.67

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?