Polymarket Trader

adiyk

0x38e9760711cf8355e38d0d1e64c6e3502e47f3a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.49
Realized PnL: $34.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $23.32
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $82.68
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $13.32

No position

Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.34
Potential profit: $59.34
User PnL: -$26.23

No position

Will Trump attend UFC 327?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.73
Potential profit: $29.73
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $21.91
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $6.91

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.29
Potential payout: $22.29
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.8

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.21
Potential profit: $16.21
User PnL: -$13.78

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.97
Potential payout: $12.12
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.97

No position

US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $6.06
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

No position

South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x China tariff agreement by November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

No position

Record low border encounters in June?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 and 30 million views the first week?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance by October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Yoon in jail before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: October

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk tweet more August 18 than day before?

Ends Aug 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel military action against Iran in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Trump x Epstein files made public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

James Comey arrested by October 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in July?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 2?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

D4vd arrested by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 74% 22.29 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 66% 12.12 shares
Will Trump attend UFC 327?

No 45.5% 29.73 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 9.4% 106 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 51% 29.41 shares
James Comey arrested by October 31?

No 50% 2 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

No 76% 1.32 shares
Will Joe Biden make an appearance by October 15?

No 43% 2.33 shares
D4vd arrested by October 31?

No 58% 1.72 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 2?

Yes 76% 3.07 shares
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?

No 80% 1.25 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Yes 74% 1.35 shares