Satoshx

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $25.34
Potential profit: $23.99
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.21
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.62
Potential profit: $13.62
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $9.01
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.19
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.27
Potential profit: $8.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $7.68
Potential profit: $5.42
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.78
Potential profit: $4.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $2.25
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Utah

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Over position

Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Over position

Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Rangers position

Blackhawks vs. Rangers

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.75

Over position

Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Utah

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.21

Warriors position

Spread: Warriors (-2.5)

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?