Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $20.93
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Polymarket Trader
QuantumSage98
0x39148d705fa472a7f0f6856655d6662d49d19060
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.74
- Realized PnL
- $43.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.73
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.15
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes 6.8% 15 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes 85% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 4.6% 25 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 76% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 4.3% 14.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 4% 14.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 4% 20 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 4.3% 14.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 4.3% 14.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes 47% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 4.5% 23 shares