Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $195.33
- Potential profit
- $185.66
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$10.41
Polymarket Trader
nightmareado
0x3917adb9c4052356c5299e6255b5b443419577bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.75
- Realized PnL
- $303.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.55
- Potential profit
- $62.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $37.21
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.7
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $28.78
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.56
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.39
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.03
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.67
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by September 30?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.4% 11.31 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Yes 58% 20 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 86.4% 2.81 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 86% 11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 63% 29.99 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 76% 50 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes 32% 62.55 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes 99.8% 28.98 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 8.1% 123.33 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes 95% 21.05 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 43% 46.51 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 60% 33.33 shares