Polymarket Trader

rocky42024

0x391dd6c65880963a94da3fb2d31ef419fe5bdef1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.39K
Realized PnL: $27.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $15.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$20.98

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $81.18
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$123.47

Yes position

Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $111.7
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: -$13.02

Yes position

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $15.52
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $19.73
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $64.74
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $34.75

Yes position

Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $16.96
Potential payout: $916.65
Potential profit: $899.69
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$26.89

No position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $142.82
Potential payout: $816.12
Potential profit: $673.3
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$31.53

Yes position

Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $736.9
Potential profit: $733.58
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $46.67
Potential payout: $718.04
Potential profit: $671.36
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$58.29

No position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $229.28
Potential payout: $643.15
Potential profit: $413.86
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $133.4

Yes position

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $23.83
Potential payout: $476.67
Potential profit: $452.83
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$25.06

Yes position

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $462.17
Potential profit: $448.76
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$38.13

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $267.8
Potential payout: $408.85
Potential profit: $141.05
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$8.67

No position

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $250.87
Potential payout: $304.08
Potential profit: $53.21
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $280.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $34.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $265.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $4.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Fnatic position

LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Cerundolo position

Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Arsenal FC position

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Delfino Pescara 1936 end in a draw?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Over position

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Alex Bolt position

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Bolt vs Yibing Wu

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Over position

FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will Delfino Pescara 1936 win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Fnatic position

Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Under position

Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Over position

Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Under position

Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Under position

Coritiba FBC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.4

Over position

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $984.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: United States (-2.5)

United States 13.1% 114 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Under 54% 51 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5

Under 95% 50 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 4.2% 26 shares
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

No 99% 5 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 68.3% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?

No 6% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?

No 53% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?

No 57% 27.33 shares
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

No 36% 51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15?

No 60% 49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?

No 81% 38 shares