Polymarket Trader

Maru.lucky.nala.lenu

0x392ae2a1fbc20cc1be679958f4a8809c8b49262d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.48K
Realized PnL: $2.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $390
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $356.61

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $917.97
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $707.04
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$151.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $931
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $469
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $396.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $903.5
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $60.7

Yes position

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $398.12
Potential payout: $560.73
Potential profit: $162.61
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $104.05

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $392.82
Potential payout: $490.11
Potential profit: $97.29
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $80.15

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $370
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $244
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $156
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $116

Yes position

Starmer out by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $189.19
Potential payout: $221.27
Potential profit: $32.08
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $25.61

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $117.01
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $83.01
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $51.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $148.1
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.2%
Current value: $164.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $35.7
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $99
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $101
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $9

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

No position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$30.1

No position

Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$6.3

No position

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.17

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.36

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $156.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $145

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $116.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.4

Yes position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.54

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.22

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.48

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.45

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.98

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.41

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.53

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.79

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $38

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.7

No position

Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.06

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.26

No position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 64% 1,400 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 36% 755 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 30.4% 200 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 30.2% 37 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 27.5% 400 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 73.2% 556.06 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 75% 52.03 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 75.1% 69.37 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 75.3% 92.49 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 38% 755 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

No 28% 944.93 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 35% 1,919.96 shares