Polymarket Trader

flurkus

0x392cc75a43859d42524bad660f5fac2795d842b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.27K
Realized PnL: $87.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $14.35K
Potential payout: $79.49K
Potential profit: $65.14K
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$65.42

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $94.83
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.35K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $70.45
Potential payout: $853.91
Potential profit: $783.47
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$8.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.2%
Current value: $214.98
Potential payout: $611.62
Potential profit: $396.64
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $14.99

Yes position

Will Argentina win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $92.11
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $434.21
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$7.89

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $162.5
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $254.17
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $12.5

Japan position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$100

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $95.71
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $190
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.32
Potential profit: $276.32
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $83.65
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $108.65
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$16.35

Australia position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $49.43
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $64.2
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.57

Netherlands position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$50

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $53.87
Potential payout: $75.34
Potential profit: $21.47
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$1.13

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

Norway position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 75,408.29 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 649.06 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.2% 853.91 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.7% 611.62 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 1,546.39 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

United States 83% 120.48 shares
Will Argentina win the World Cup?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.9% 3,448.28 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 35% 142.86 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 35% 142.86 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 278.26 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Australia 44% 113.64 shares