No position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $6.78
- User PnL
- $24.04
Polymarket Trader
Jabababa
0x392f6cd1419d42ca9f62a5c7b7d59b82ed9d408d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.71K
- Realized PnL
- $355.81
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- User PnL
- $52.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $21.43
- Potential payout
- $285.72
- Potential profit
- $264.29
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$187.57
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $245.78
- Potential payout
- $247.02
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- User PnL
- $8.37
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $223.92
- Potential payout
- $226.98
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.45
- Potential profit
- $208.45
- User PnL
- -$101.02
No position
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $161.11
- Potential payout
- $162
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $71
- Potential payout
- $149.48
- Potential profit
- $78.48
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $97.13
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $13.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $30.76
- Potential payout
- $30.9
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$21
No position
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $16.53
- Potential payout
- $16.6
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.74
USA position
Men's Group C - USA vs. Denmark
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.02
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.31
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?No 95.5% 226.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 66.9% 149.48 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 42.6% 103 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 54% 102 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 47% 103 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 54% 102 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.5% 544.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 75% 11 shares
- Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 950 shares
- Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 16.6 shares
- Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 30.9 shares