No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $28.96
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Polymarket Trader
0x394AF40EB087c9B25eD1945dd04aE4c3600d0539-1769266694564
0x394af40eb087c9b25ed1945dd04ae4c3600d0539
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.43
- Realized PnL
- -$2.04
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.79
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$12.59
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $16.49
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $15.94
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $10.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.4
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $9.59
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $9.43
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 80% 12.5 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 95.1% 17 shares
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No 58% 10 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 84% 10 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No 94.8% 9 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 19% 10 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No 80% 9 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 67% 10 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 85% 12 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 95.5% 16 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 83% 10 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 94% 10.64 shares