Polymarket Trader

Zbigniew

0x395aa96742d5a520a1cd0fbb6a2d9ba8af617384

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $1.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $361.98
Potential payout: $832.15
Potential profit: $470.16
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$9.22

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $215.25
Potential payout: $338.98
Potential profit: $123.73
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $15.25

Yes position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $286.75
Potential payout: $320.4
Potential profit: $33.64
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.77
Potential profit: $309.77
User PnL: -$142

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $173.48
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$4.91

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $117
Potential payout: $133.71
Potential profit: $16.71
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $127.49
Potential payout: $131.63
Potential profit: $4.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.49

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $50.5
Potential payout: $125.31
Potential profit: $74.81
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.04
Potential profit: $34.04
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.67
Potential profit: $33.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.3%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $29.94
Potential profit: $19.69
Multiplier: 2.92x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $26.88
Potential profit: $22.25
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $13.72
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $11.92
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$6.28

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $2.96
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.92
Potential profit: $12.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $11.31
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.88

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.89

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.91

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.62

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.41

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

No position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.51

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Yes position

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.6% 26.88 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.4% 29.94 shares
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 83% 120.48 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 42% 468.07 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

No 88% 1.14 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 42.6% 234.88 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 39.9% 125.31 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 88.4% 11.31 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

No 70% 14.29 shares