Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $144.43
- Potential profit
- $139.88
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Polymarket Trader
0x395b...0a23
0x395b5b2bd626260f944f5119a018041e81ac0a23
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $40.51
- Realized PnL
- $370.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $71.49
- Potential profit
- $71.45
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $71.34
- Potential profit
- $69.49
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $43.92
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $22.31
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $18.84
- Potential profit
- $17.13
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $14.92
- Potential profit
- $6.04
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will Hong Kong have between 375-400mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Hong Kong have less than 350mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $9.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $4.54
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $102.37
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.03
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 18?No 5.9% 158.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?Yes 3.7% 144.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?Yes 6.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?Yes 7.8% 38.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 7% 13.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?Yes 0.2% 21.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 5% 4.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 7% 66.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 98.4% 20.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 98.5% 18.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 98.5% 18.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 98.5% 18.88 shares