Polymarket Trader

benol

0x3965eda9a8e800b05a3b49cb17f0e394da82c44e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.67
Realized PnL: $9.2
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $16.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $23.6
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $19.44
Potential profit: $12.54
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 35% 40 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 36% 19.44 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 93.8% 10.62 shares
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Yes 14% 25 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 75% 6.67 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 90% 11.11 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 94.1% 10.63 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Yes 95.5% 1.05 shares

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