No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.9%
- Current value
- $4K
- Potential payout
- $10.85K
- Potential profit
- $6.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
Polymarket Trader
Atlantislq
@Atlantislq
0x3968c3d8090406b6d4c6e29308331a9dc3292b0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.01K
- Realized PnL
- $129.43K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $760.38
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $9.24K
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- -$189.97
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.9%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 2.71x
- User PnL
- -$404.7
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.79K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.49K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.99K
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.12K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $870.08
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $739.37
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.93
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.54
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.06
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$104.03
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$187.88
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.94K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 55% 47.7 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 53% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 48.9% 124.36 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 46% 23.75 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 9.5% 1,017.19 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 8% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 46.7% 230.96 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 46% 5 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 31,127.57 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 19.8% 4,340.28 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61% 95.51 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 3,114.46 shares