ColdFrontCapital

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.13
Potential profit: $200.13
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$77.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$44.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$46.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$37.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.9
Potential profit: $174.9
User PnL: -$17.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.36
Potential profit: $125.36
User PnL: -$22.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $24.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $75.5
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.36
Potential profit: $77.36
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $25.27
Potential payout: $75.43
Potential profit: $50.16
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $16.13
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $58.88
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $29.63
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $45.38
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$14.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$24.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $70.46
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$5.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$8.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on June 8?