Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.97
- Potential profit
- $18.97
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
0x2cd78Da7f86CE726fC2412e8F4b091a4A4b65Fd4-1768651084428
0x397ca66c17df5ac43a38ba30538a296327df0811
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.86
- Realized PnL
- $18.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10.18
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $2.62
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Y
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.35
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Is Earth flat?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Is Earth flat?No 98.2% 1.02 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98.2% 10.18 shares
- Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 74% 1.35 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.1% 2.62 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.8% 5.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp 99% 23.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 58% 18.97 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 97.6% 1.02 shares