No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $11.71K
- Potential payout
- $12.41K
- Potential profit
- $701.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $697.11
Polymarket Trader
tony90125
0x397e869ca7f852045b0f66e1eb49b0004081fd1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.54K
- Realized PnL
- $2.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $5.61K
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $487.99
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $418.07
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.82K
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $280.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $331.25
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.7K
- Potential payout
- $4.71K
- Potential profit
- $11.78
- User PnL
- $85.58
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.18K
- Potential payout
- $4.52K
- Potential profit
- $338.63
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $333.19
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.08K
- Potential payout
- $4.09K
- Potential profit
- $14.31
- User PnL
- $79.96
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $236.41
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $85.04
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $981.46
- Potential payout
- $982.93
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- User PnL
- $9.24
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $105.47
- Potential payout
- $105.89
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.84
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $8.93
- Potential payout
- $8.97
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $6.39
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5.22
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.52
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.64
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.8
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.39
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.72
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.86
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.66
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.96
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.54
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.16
No position
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.15
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.08
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.25
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.83
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.42
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.84
No position
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.32
No position
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.76
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.97
No position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 99.2% 273.84 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 99.3% 300 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 99.3% 300 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?No 99% 280.73 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 99.3% 280 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 99% 202.59 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 99.3% 202 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 99% 17.3 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?Yes 98.4% 10.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No 99% 5.99 shares
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in June?No 98% 5.89 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 90% 1,165.5 shares