Polymarket Trader

jaguar-1.618

0x397ee8cd2e5f20353962d2e80effd7087e0317ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $758.67
Realized PnL: $721.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

9z position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Chicago White Sox position

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $187.85
Potential payout: $399.68
Potential profit: $211.83
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 74.6%
Current value: $208.22
Potential payout: $279.11
Potential profit: $70.9
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $8.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $179.29
Potential payout: $239.06
Potential profit: $59.76
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$20.71

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $78.95
Potential payout: $210.52
Potential profit: $131.58
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$21.05

Switzerland position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.47
Potential profit: $203.47
User PnL: -$121.26

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $104.36
Potential payout: $132.95
Potential profit: $28.58
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$15.63

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.36
Potential profit: $93.36
User PnL: -$40

Under position

United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.1
Potential profit: $88.1
User PnL: -$55

Under position

FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.42
Potential profit: $84.42
User PnL: -$5

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.11
Potential profit: $69.11
User PnL: -$5

Under position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Under position

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.46
Potential profit: $45.46
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.85
Potential profit: $37.85
User PnL: -$24.98

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$20

Over position

IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.15

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.33

Milwaukee Brewers position

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.62

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.21

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.87

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.89

United States position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.2

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.66

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Rockets position

Knicks vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

San Francisco Giants position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

Over position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Qatar position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

Under position

FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.83

Under position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Stars position

Stars vs. Wild

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Under position

Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 48% 10.42 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 48% 10.42 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 48% 10.42 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 48% 10.42 shares
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix Mercury 10% 17.24 shares
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix Mercury 10% 11.9 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 48% 10.42 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 48% 10.42 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 48% 10.42 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 48% 10.42 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 47% 10.64 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 48% 10.42 shares