Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $27.63
- Potential payout
- $46.88
- Potential profit
- $19.24
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- -$17.37
Polymarket Trader
Anselmianna
0x39839a83ef87764b91bfef50f53620523f4ebd94
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.63
- Realized PnL
- $4.75
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.15
- Potential profit
- $31.15
- User PnL
- -$11.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96% 46.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 84% 60.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 74% 60.81 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 19.56 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 19.57 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.8% 17.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 83% 21.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97% 21.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 16?No 99.6% 21.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 94.2% 22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 98% 22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 81% 7 shares