No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $45.75K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.09K
Polymarket Trader
Lihong62
0x398816c2f74b28c3287598a4992211fa661d7a45
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.03K
- Realized PnL
- $997.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $223.53
- Potential payout
- $395.69
- Potential profit
- $172.17
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$29.94
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.3
- Potential profit
- $131.3
- User PnL
- -$74.84
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.72
- Potential profit
- $58.72
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.99
- Potential profit
- $47.99
- User PnL
- -$26.34
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.63
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $10.54
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $9.95
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $9.95
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.44
- Potential profit
- $7.44
- User PnL
- -$4.41
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $4.97
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $4.96
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $4.96
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54
- Potential profit
- $2.54
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Wells Fargo fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $1.8
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $835.88
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.4
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.28
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.12
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $19.6
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Suns position
Warriors vs. Suns
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 73% 6.81 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 72% 6.9 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 6.72 shares