Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.74K
- Potential payout
- $8.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.66K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $378.23
Polymarket Trader
fullrandom
0x398c74a78f3ffbb6dafd4ab2ee21e2f90f2e2172
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.08K
- Realized PnL
- $6.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.11K
- Potential profit
- $8.11K
- User PnL
- -$348.77
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$10.74
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $335.53
- Potential payout
- $789.47
- Potential profit
- $453.95
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $35.53
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $758.57
- Potential profit
- $758.57
- User PnL
- -$5.31
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714
- Potential profit
- $714
- User PnL
- -$99.96
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$145
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.72
- Potential profit
- $334.72
- User PnL
- -$112.54
Yes position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.98
- Potential profit
- $249.98
- User PnL
- -$59.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.32
- Potential profit
- $185.32
- User PnL
- -$51.18
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$109.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $149.99
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$31.4
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.23
- Potential profit
- $29.23
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.7
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- User PnL
- -$11.26
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.93
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.64
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.57
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.87
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $230.72
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.35
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.48
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.07
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.58
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.29
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.81
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.93
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.34
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out as United States Director of National Intelligence before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.48
No position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.98
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.8
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 93.6% 257.28 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 40% 8,405.2 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 38% 789.47 shares
- Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 52.8% 265.07 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 60.2% 1,499.98 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 39.3% 2,550 shares
- Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 37.7% 265.07 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 3.9% 257.28 shares
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes 21.9% 500 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 51% 1.96 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 39% 2.56 shares