No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $25.76
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
gustav895tara
0x398fc19d3d9fb43241c45d0bed45d53edfa0fcd7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.66
- Realized PnL
- $4.43
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be 48.5% or moreon March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in February?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential Election
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Pamela Bondi be out as Attorney General in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96.9% 3 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 32 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 93% 34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.7% 29 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 52 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 95.4% 30 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 93.6% 31 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 92.2% 27 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 92.7% 27 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 67.1% 44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 97.5% 30 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 88.6% 20 shares